Morgan Stanley Says Stock Bulls Face Rude Awakening
Tue, June 20, 2023 (Bloomberg) -- One of Wall Street's most bearish strategists isn't giving in to the bullish about-turn in equities, saying investors may be in for "a rude awakening." Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson, whose outlook for a market slump in 2023 has yet to materialize, said fading fiscal support, lower liquidity and falling inflation will weigh on the US equity rally in the second half of the year. He's also concerned that stocks are "as stretched as they can get" in a narrow performance that's been driven by excess liquidity from March's banking deposit bailouts. "Given our fundamental view on growth, we find it hard to get on board with the current excitement," Wilson wrote in a note Tuesday. "If second half growth re-accelerates as expected, then the bullish narrative being used to support equity prices will be proven correct. If not, many investors may be in for a rude awakening given the very big reach for risk we are seeing." Morgan Stanley expects slowing inflation to have a direct negative impact on companies' revenue growth that's not reflected in consensus forecasts. According to Wilson, last week's lower-than-expected producer prices release portends a sharp drop in revenue growth over the next four months. That "would imply that our well below earnings forecast is correct as the negative operating leverage does the heavy lifting." *Information contained within this press release should not be construed as Legal, Accounting, Tax or Investment advice. Patriot Gold Group is Gold & Silver Dealer, representatives are NOT Licensed Financial Planners and do NOT give investing or tax advice. |
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